Mali v Madagascar: the model read
Mali meet Madagascar in the World Cup - Qualification Africa group stage - 10 at Stade du 26 Mars, Bamako.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1528, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Madagascar on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Mali arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Iran, D 0-0 @ Russia, L 0-1 v Senegal, D 1-1 v Tunisia.
Madagascar are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Morocco, D 1-1 @ Equatorial Guinea, W 5-2 @ Kyrgyzstan, W 2-0 v Equatorial Guinea.
Mali hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Mali 4-1 Madagascar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
