Alaior v Alcúdia: the model read
Alaior meet Alcúdia in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 group 11 - 22 at Estadio Los Pinos, Menorca. The model makes Alcúdia the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 30% ALA, 32% draw, 38% ALC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Alcúdia, 40% against 28%. Attacking output favors Alcúdia on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Alcúdia at 56%; double chance reads Alaior or draw 62%, Alcúdia or draw 70%.
Alaior arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Portmany, L 1-2 @ Mallorca II, L 0-3 v Poblense, L 0-1 @ Constància.
Alcúdia are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Mercadal, D 1-1 v Binissalem, W 2-0 @ Felanitx, D 2-2 v Peña Deportiva.
Alcúdia hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Alaior 2-4 Alcúdia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
