Switzerland v Algeria

Switzerland meet Algeria in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 32 at BC Place, Vancouver. The model makes Switzerland the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% SUI, 31% draw, 33% ALG.

The baseline ratings are close, 1890 to 1820, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 64% against 64%. Attacking output favors Switzerland on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Switzerland 1-0 Algeria, from expected goals of 1.4 to 1.2.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Switzerland at 53%; double chance reads Switzerland or draw 67%, Algeria or draw 63%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.