Morocco v Haiti

Morocco meet Haiti in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group c at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta. The model makes Morocco the most likely outcome at 49%, with the full read 49% MAR, 29% draw, 22% HAI.

Morocco rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1910 to 1660. Recent form leans Morocco, 72% against 50%. Attacking output favors Morocco on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Morocco 2-0 Haiti, from expected goals of 2.2 to 0.6.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Morocco at 69%; double chance reads Morocco or draw 78%, Haiti or draw 51%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.