Germany v Paraguay

Germany meet Paraguay in the FIFA World Cup 2026 round of 32 at Gillette Stadium, Boston. The model makes Germany the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% GER, 30% draw, 30% PAR.

Germany rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1990 to 1820. Recent form separates little, 70% against 64%. Attacking output favors Germany on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Germany 1-0 Paraguay, from expected goals of 1.7 to 1.0.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 52%. Draw no bet leans Germany at 58%; double chance reads Germany or draw 70%, Paraguay or draw 60%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.