Egypt v Iran

Egypt meet Iran in the FIFA World Cup 2026 group g at Lumen Field, Seattle. The model makes Egypt the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% EGY, 32% draw, 33% IRN.

The baseline ratings are close, 1800 to 1810, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 62% against 60%. Attacking output favors Egypt on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.2 per match.

Model score projection: most likely Egypt 1-0 Iran, from expected goals of 1.1 to 1.0.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Egypt at 51%; double chance reads Egypt or draw 67%, Iran or draw 65%.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.