Pumas Tabasco v CA La Paz: the model read
Pumas Tabasco meet CA La Paz in the Liga de Expansión MX clausura - 11 at Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa, Villahermosa. The model makes CA La Paz the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 32% PUM, 31% draw, 38% CA .
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 47% against 53%. Attacking output favors CA La Paz on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans CA La Paz at 54%; double chance reads Pumas Tabasco or draw 62%, CA La Paz or draw 68%.
Pumas Tabasco arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Alebrijes de Oaxaca, L 1-4 @ Cancún, W 1-0 v Monarcas, W 2-0 @ Mineros de Zacatecas.
CA La Paz are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ FC Juarez, L 1-2 v CDS Tampico Madero, L 0-2 @ CDS Tampico Madero, D 1-1 @ Atlante FC.
CA La Paz hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Pumas Tabasco 1-1 CA La Paz.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
