Mali U23 v Senegal U23: the model read
Mali U23 meet Senegal U23 in the Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification 3rd round. The model makes Mali U23 the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% MAL, 32% draw, 29% SEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1542 to 1482, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mali U23 on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 37%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Mali U23 at 57%; double chance reads Mali U23 or draw 71%, Senegal U23 or draw 62%.
Mali U23 arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Indonesia U23, W 3-0 @ Indonesia U23, L 0-1 @ Paraguay U23, L 0-1 @ Japan U23.
Senegal U23 are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Mali U23, W 3-1 v Mali U23, D 0-0 v Burkina Faso U23, D 0-0 @ Burkina Faso U23.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Mali U23 3-0 Senegal U23.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
