Ashton & Backwell United v Aylesbury United: the model read
Ashton & Backwell United meet Aylesbury United in the FA Cup extra preliminary round at The Lancer Scott Stadium, Backwell, Somerset.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Aylesbury United, 43% against 0%. Attacking output favors Aylesbury United on expected goals, 2.1 to 0.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 31%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Aylesbury United at 81%; double chance reads Ashton & Backwell United or draw 37%, Aylesbury United or draw 86%.
Ashton & Backwell United arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-3L from their last five (0/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Aylesbury United, L 0-2 @ Ardley United, L 1-3 @ Odd Down.
Aylesbury United are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Hertford Town, W 1-0 @ Hadley, W 3-1 v Stotfold, W 2-0 @ Thame United.
Aylesbury United hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Ashton & Backwell United 0-2 Aylesbury United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output