Nice v Nantes: the model read
Nice meet Nantes in the Coupe de France final at Stade de France, Saint-Denis. The model makes Nice the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% NIC, 33% draw, 32% NAN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Nice, 43% against 28%. Attacking output favors Nice on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Nice at 52%; double chance reads Nice or draw 68%, Nantes or draw 65%.
Nice arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Nimes, W 4-1 v Saint Etienne, D 0-0 @ Saint Etienne, L 1-3 @ Lens.
Nantes are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v La Roche VF, L 0-1 @ Lorient, W 5-0 @ Fleury 91, L 0-1 @ Lens.
Nantes hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Nantes 1-4 Nice.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
