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Serie D · 1st Phase - 11 · Brazil

Castanhal v 4 de Julho

0-0Tiempo completo· Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal, Pará· Árbitro: José Ricardo Vasconcellos Laranjeira

Análisis del partidoResumen previo al partido

Castanhal v 4 de Julho: the model read

Castanhal meet 4 de Julho in the Serie D 1st phase - 11 at Estádio Maximino Porpino Filho, Castanhal, Pará. The model makes Castanhal the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% CAS, 32% draw, 32% 4 D.

The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Castanhal, 45% against 37%. Attacking output favors 4 de Julho on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Castanhal at 53%; double chance reads Castanhal or draw 68%, 4 de Julho or draw 64%.

Castanhal arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 v Nova Iguaçu, L 0-1 v Capitao Poco, D 0-0 v Águia de Marabá, D 1-1 v Guarani Campinas.

4 de Julho are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Altos, W 1-0 v Altos, L 2-4 v Parnahyba, L 1-2 v Oeirense.

Castanhal hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: Castanhal 0-0 4 de Julho.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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Castanhal

LDDLL5-8-7

Marcados 1.00 · Recibidos 1.25 · Portería a cero 25% · Ambos marcan 45%

  • LCNova Iguaçu0-4
  • LCCapitao Poco0-1
  • DCÁguia de Marabá0-0
  • DCGuarani Campinas1-1
  • LFPaysandu0-1

4 de Julho

DLLWL5-4-10

Marcados 1.05 · Recibidos 1.58 · Portería a cero 26.3% · Ambos marcan 52.6%

  • LFAltos0-4
  • WCAltos1-0
  • LCParnahyba2-4
  • LCOeirense1-2
  • DFPiauí1-1

Head-to-head

2 meetings

Castanhalrecord4 de Julho
1
0
1 draw

Goals

3-0

for each

Avg goals

1.5

per game

BTTS

0%

both scored

Over 2.5

50%

3+ goals

Castanhal

Recent
DW
Wins 1Goals 3-0

Biggest win 3-0

4 de Julho

Recent
DL
Wins 0Goals 0-3
  • Castanhal0-04 de Julho
  • 4 de Julho0-3Castanhal

Managers

Hermes

Brazil · 47

In charge since 2023 · 2 clubs managed

  • Nova Iguaçu2020–2020

Jorge Pinheiro

Brazil · 54

In charge since 2018 · 8 clubs managed

  • Flamengo PI2018–2018
  • Itapipoca2016–2016
  • Flamengo PI2015–2015
  • Itapipoca2015–2015

Solo datos reales: resultados recientes, cara a cara y cuotas de mercado. No se muestra la salida del modelo para equipos sin priors de Lemeister.