Tanzania U23 v South Sudan U23: the model read
Tanzania U23 meet South Sudan U23 in the CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup semi-finals at Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 32% TAN, 36% draw, 32% SOU.
The baseline ratings are close, 1506 to 1496, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 56% against 50%. Attacking output favors South Sudan U23 on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 23%, over 2.5 goals around 14%. Draw no bet leans Tanzania U23 at 50%; double chance reads Tanzania U23 or draw 68%, South Sudan U23 or draw 68%.
Tanzania U23 arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Nigeria U23, D 1-1 v Nigeria U23, D 3-3 @ South Sudan U23, D 0-0 v South Sudan U23.
South Sudan U23 are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Tanzania U23, D 0-0 @ Tanzania U23, W 1-0 v Kenya U23, L 0-1 @ Tanzania U23.
Tanzania U23 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2022: South Sudan U23 3-3 Tanzania U23.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output