Krystal v Yarud Mariupol': the model read
Krystal meet Yarud Mariupol' in the Druha Liga - Group B group b - 21 at Stadion Krystal, Kherson. The model makes Yarud Mariupol' the most likely outcome at 47%, with the full read 23% KRY, 29% draw, 47% YAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Yarud Mariupol', 53% against 15%. Attacking output favors Yarud Mariupol' on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 38%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Yarud Mariupol' at 67%; double chance reads Krystal or draw 53%, Yarud Mariupol' or draw 77%.
Krystal arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ SK Poltava, L 0-2 v Peremoga, W 2-0 @ Sumy, L 0-2 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka.
Yarud Mariupol' are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka, D 1-1 @ Karpaty, D 1-1 @ Veres Rivne, W 2-0 v Viktoriya Mykolaivka.
Yarud Mariupol' hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: Yarud Mariupol' 2-0 Krystal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
