Union Comercio v Sport Boys: the model read
Union Comercio meet Sport Boys in the Copa Bicentenario quarter-finals at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima. The model makes Union Comercio the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% UNI, 34% draw, 30% SPO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1504, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 50%. Attacking output favors Union Comercio on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Union Comercio at 55%; double chance reads Union Comercio or draw 70%, Sport Boys or draw 64%.
Union Comercio arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Cesar Vallejo, L 0-2 @ Sporting Cristal, L 0-1 v Comerciantes, W 3-1 @ Estudiantil CNI.
Sport Boys are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v ADT, L 0-1 @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas, W 1-0 v Comerciantes, W 3-0 v Academia Cantolao.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
