El Ejido v Las Palmas II: the model read
El Ejido meet Las Palmas II in the Primera División RFEF - Group 4 group 4 - 2nd phase - 7 at Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón. The model makes Las Palmas II the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 26% EL , 29% draw, 46% LAS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Las Palmas II, 45% against 23%. Attacking output favors Las Palmas II on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 62%. Draw no bet leans Las Palmas II at 64%; double chance reads El Ejido or draw 54%, Las Palmas II or draw 74%.
El Ejido arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v El Palo, L 0-1 @ Huétor Tájar, L 1-2 v Ciudad de Torredonjimeno, D 1-1 @ Atlético Porcuna.
Las Palmas II are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Socuéllamos, W 2-1 v Orihuela, L 0-3 @ Getafe II, L 0-1 v Real Madrid III.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2021: El Ejido 1-3 Las Palmas II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
