St. Kitts and Nevis v Haiti: the model read
St. Kitts and Nevis meet Haiti in the Caribbean Cup 3rd round - 3 at Warner Park Football Stadium, Basseterre.
The baseline ratings are close, 1535 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors St. Kitts and Nevis on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
St. Kitts and Nevis arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 12 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Cuba, W 3-0 v Grenada, W 2-1 @ Bonaire, W 4-2 v Solomon Islands.
Haiti are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Costa Rica, W 4-1 @ Dominican Republic, W 2-0 v Costa Rica, W 3-2 v Trinidad and Tobago.
Haiti hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2016: St. Kitts and Nevis 0-2 Haiti.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
