Persebaya Surabaya v Persepam Madura Utd: the model read
Persebaya Surabaya meet Persepam Madura Utd in the Piala Indonesia quarter-finals. The model makes Persebaya Surabaya the most likely outcome at 51%, with the full read 51% PER, 26% draw, 22% PER.
Persebaya Surabaya rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1431. Recent form leans Persebaya Surabaya, 65% against 38%. Attacking output favors Persebaya Surabaya on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 56%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans Persebaya Surabaya at 70%; double chance reads Persebaya Surabaya or draw 78%, Persepam Madura Utd or draw 49%.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 15 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Persija, D 2-2 v PSIS Semarang, W 5-0 v Persik Kediri, W 7-0 @ Semen Padang.
Persepam Madura Utd are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v PSM Makassar, L 1-2 @ PSIM Yogyakarta, L 1-3 @ Bhayangkara FC, W 2-0 v Bali United.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
