Carquefou v Paris FC: the model read
Carquefou meet Paris FC in the National 1 regular season - 29 at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Paris FC the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 31% CAR, 34% draw, 36% PAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Paris FC, 63% against 53%. Attacking output favors Paris FC on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 32%, over 2.5 goals around 24%. Draw no bet leans Paris FC at 54%; double chance reads Carquefou or draw 64%, Paris FC or draw 69%.
Carquefou arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trégunc, D 1-1 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 1-4 @ Gazelec FC Ajaccio, L 1-2 v Amiens.
Paris FC are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Reims, W 2-1 v Paris Saint Germain, L 1-2 @ Rennes, W 4-0 v Stade Brestois 29.
Paris FC hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2014: Carquefou 1-2 Paris FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
