Carquefou v Strasbourg: the model read
Carquefou meet Strasbourg in the National 1 regular season - 27 at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Carquefou the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% CAR, 32% draw, 31% STR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 50%. Attacking output favors Strasbourg on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 35%. Draw no bet leans Carquefou at 54%; double chance reads Carquefou or draw 69%, Strasbourg or draw 63%.
Carquefou arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trégunc, D 1-1 @ Drapeau Fougères, L 1-4 @ Gazelec FC Ajaccio, L 1-2 v Amiens.
Strasbourg are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Blackburn, L 0-7 @ Sporting CP, W 5-4 v Monaco, W 2-1 @ Stade Brestois 29.
Carquefou hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2014: Carquefou 1-0 Strasbourg.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
