Miramar v Cerrito: the model read
Miramar meet Cerrito in the Segunda División regular season - 12 at Parque Luis Méndez Piana, Montevideo. The model makes Cerrito the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% MIR, 32% draw, 36% CER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cerrito, 53% against 42%. Attacking output favors Cerrito on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Cerrito at 52%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 64%, Cerrito or draw 67%.
Miramar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas, W 3-1 @ Island Bay, W 3-2 @ Paysandu.
Cerrito are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 2 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Rentistas, W 1-0 v Miramar, D 0-0 @ Tacuarembo, W 1-0 v Plaza Colonia.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cerrito 1-0 Miramar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
