Miramar v Cerro Largo: the model read
Miramar meet Cerro Largo in the Segunda División regular season - 8 at Parque Luis Méndez Piana, Montevideo. The model makes Cerro Largo the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 32% MIR, 33% draw, 35% CER.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 45%. Attacking output favors Miramar on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Cerro Largo at 53%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 65%, Cerro Largo or draw 68%.
Miramar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas, W 3-1 @ Island Bay, W 3-2 @ Paysandu.
Cerro Largo are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Defensor Sporting, D 0-0 @ Liverpool Montevideo, W 2-0 v Cerro, W 3-0 v Boston River.
Cerro Largo hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Miramar 1-1 Cerro Largo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
