Miramar v Progreso: the model read
Miramar meet Progreso in the Segunda División regular season - 6 at Parque Luis Méndez Piana, Montevideo. The model makes Miramar the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 38% MIR, 33% draw, 29% PRO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Miramar, 42% against 30%. Attacking output favors Miramar on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Miramar at 56%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 71%, Progreso or draw 62%.
Miramar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas, W 3-1 @ Island Bay, W 3-2 @ Paysandu.
Progreso are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Maldonado, L 0-2 @ Wanderers, L 1-2 v Albion FC, W 2-1 @ Danubio.
Progreso hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Progreso 3-2 Miramar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
