Miramar v Tacuarembo: the model read
Miramar meet Tacuarembo in the Segunda División regular season - 4 at Parque Luis Méndez Piana, Montevideo. The model makes Miramar the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% MIR, 33% draw, 31% TAC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 39%. Attacking output favors Miramar on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 34%, over 2.5 goals around 26%. Draw no bet leans Miramar at 54%; double chance reads Miramar or draw 69%, Tacuarembo or draw 64%.
Miramar arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Cerrito, D 1-1 v Atenas, W 3-1 @ Island Bay, W 3-2 @ Paysandu.
Tacuarembo are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Plaza Colonia, L 0-2 @ La Luz, D 0-0 v Cerrito, L 0-2 @ Atenas.
Miramar hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Tacuarembo 1-3 Miramar.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
