Châteaubriant v Vendée Fontenay: the model read
Châteaubriant meet Vendée Fontenay in the National 3 - Group B group b - 7 at Stade du Moulin Boisseau, Carquefou. The model makes Vendée Fontenay the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 33% CHÂ, 32% draw, 36% VEN.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 35%. Attacking output favors Vendée Fontenay on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 39%. Draw no bet leans Vendée Fontenay at 52%; double chance reads Châteaubriant or draw 64%, Vendée Fontenay or draw 67%.
Châteaubriant arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Les Herbiers, W 2-1 v Bayonne, D 1-1 @ Montlouis, L 0-1 v Dinan Léhon.
Vendée Fontenay are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Chauvigny, W 2-0 v Panazol, L 1-2 @ La Châtaigneraie, L 0-4 v Le Poiré sur Vie.
Vendée Fontenay hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2019: Châteaubriant 1-2 Vendée Fontenay.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
