Where the market is wrong on UCV v Anzoátegui FC
UCV meet Anzoátegui FC in the Primera División clausura - 10 at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans UCV, 45% against 33%. Attacking output favors UCV on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.2 per match.
UCV arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Anzoátegui FC, W 2-0 @ Deportivo La Guaira, D 0-0 v Puerto Cabello, D 1-1 @ Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Anzoátegui FC are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ UCV, L 0-2 v Metropolitanos FC, W 2-1 v Petare FC, L 0-2 @ Deportivo La Guaira.
UCV hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UCV 1-0 Anzoátegui FC.
The market prices UCV at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Anzoátegui FC: a 13.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
