Where the market is wrong on Mandurah City v UWA Nedlands
Mandurah City meet UWA Nedlands in the Western Australia NPL semi-finals at Securitas Protect Stadium, undefined.
UWA Nedlands rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1535. Recent form leans UWA Nedlands, 78% against 53%. Attacking output favors UWA Nedlands on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.
Mandurah City arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v UWA Nedlands, W 3-1 v Murdoch Melville, L 1-2 @ Floreat Athena, L 0-1 v Quinns FC.
UWA Nedlands are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Mandurah City, W 1-0 @ Joondalup City, L 0-2 v Subiaco, W 3-0 @ Murdoch Melville.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mandurah City 0-1 UWA Nedlands.
The market prices MAN at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on UWA Nedlands: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 64 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output