Where the market is wrong on Cacereño v UD San Pedro
Cacereño meet UD San Pedro in the Copa Federacion round of 32 at Estadio Principe Felipe, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 57%. Attacking output favors Cacereño on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Cacereño arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Cultural Leonesa, W 2-0 v UD San Pedro, D 1-1 @ Deportivo La Coruña II, W 1-0 v Mirandes.
UD San Pedro are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Granada II, L 0-2 @ Cacereño, W 1-0 v Málaga II, W 2-1 v Arenas Armilla.
Cacereño hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Cacereño 2-0 UD San Pedro.
The market prices CAC at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on UD San Pedro: a 18.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
