Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Saprissa v CS Cartagines
Deportivo Saprissa meet CS Cartagines in the CONCACAF Central American Cup quarter-finals.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 65%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Saprissa on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.9 per match.
Deportivo Saprissa arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ Sporting San Jose, D 2-2 v CS Cartagines, W 2-0 @ LD Alajuelense, W 2-1 v Escorpiones Belén.
CS Cartagines are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v LD Alajuelense, D 2-2 @ Deportivo Saprissa, W 3-1 @ Puntarenas FC, W 1-0 v CS Herediano.
Deportivo Saprissa hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 CS Cartagines.
The market prices DEP at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on CS Cartagines: a 12.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
