Where the market is wrong on Al-Shabab v Saham
Al-Shabab meet Saham in the FA Cup group stage - 5.
Al-Shabab rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Al-Shabab, 63% against 35%. Attacking output favors Al-Shabab on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.7 per match.
Al-Shabab arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Saham, W 1-0 @ Al Musannah, W 2-0 @ Oman Club, L 2-3 v Al-Nahda.
Saham are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Al-Shabab, D 1-1 v Al Musannah, D 1-1 @ Al-Nahda, W 2-1 @ Ibri.
Al-Shabab hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Shabab 2-1 Saham.
The market prices AL- at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Saham: a 6.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output