Where the market is wrong on Ayeyawady United v Dagon
Ayeyawady United meet Dagon in the National League regular season - 2.
Dagon rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1454. Recent form leans Dagon, 63% against 43%. Attacking output favors Dagon on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Ayeyawady United arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 v Dagon, W 2-1 v I.S.P.E, L 1-2 @ Sagaing United, W 5-0 v Yarmanya United.
Dagon are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Ayeyawady United, W 2-0 v Hantharwady United, L 0-4 @ Yangon United, D 2-2 @ Thitsar Arman.
The market prices AYE at 19% implied. Our number sits apart on Ayeyawady United: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output