Where the market is wrong on Thitsar Arman v Myawady
Thitsar Arman meet Myawady in the National League regular season - 1 at Yangon United Sports Complex, Yangon.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Thitsar Arman, 48% against 15%. Attacking output favors Thitsar Arman on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans Thitsar Arman at 67%; double chance reads Thitsar Arman or draw 76%, Myawady or draw 51%.
Thitsar Arman arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Myawady, W 5-0 @ Yarmanya United, D 2-2 v Dagon, W 2-1 v I.S.P.E.
Myawady are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Thitsar Arman, D 2-2 v Yadanarbon, L 1-2 @ Hantharwady United, L 1-4 @ Sagaing United.
Thitsar Arman hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Thitsar Arman 2-2 Myawady.
The market prices THI at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on Thitsar Arman: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output