Where the market is wrong on Tesla v Pinheirense
Tesla meet Pinheirense in the Paraense A3 regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1469, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Pinheirense, 50% against 32%. Attacking output favors Tesla on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Tesla arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 4 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Pinheirense, L 0-1 v Paraense SC, D 1-1 @ Pinheirense, L 0-7 @ Atletico Paraense.
Pinheirense are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Tesla, W 1-0 v Paraense SC, D 1-1 v Tesla, D 0-0 @ Paraense SC.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Tesla 2-2 Pinheirense.
The market prices TES at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Pinheirense: a 10.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 77 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output