3 de Noviembre v Independiente F.b.c.: the model read
3 de Noviembre meet Independiente F.b.c. in the Division Intermedia regular season - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Independiente F.b.c., 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Independiente F.b.c. on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Independiente F.b.c. at 56%; double chance reads 3 de Noviembre or draw 61%, Independiente F.b.c. or draw 70%.
3 de Noviembre arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Independiente F.b.c., W 1-0 @ Tacuary, W 3-0 v Atlético Tembetary, L 1-2 @ Benjamín Aceval.
Independiente F.b.c. are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ 3 de Noviembre, D 0-0 v General Caballero, W 2-1 @ Guairena FC, W 1-0 v Sportivo Ameliano.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: 3 de Noviembre 5-2 Independiente F.b.c..
The market prices 3 D at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Independiente F.b.c.: a 1.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
