Where the market is wrong on Besëlidhja Lezhë v Besa Kavajë
Besëlidhja Lezhë meet Besa Kavajë in the 1st Division regular season - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Besa Kavajë, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Besa Kavajë on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Besëlidhja Lezhë arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Besa Kavajë, D 0-0 @ Bylis, L 1-2 v Korabi Peshkopi, L 0-2 @ FK Kukesi.
Besa Kavajë are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 17 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Besëlidhja Lezhë, W 5-0 v Oriku, W 4-0 @ Sopoti Librazhd, D 3-3 v Flamurtari.
Besëlidhja Lezhë hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 2 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Besëlidhja Lezhë 2-1 Besa Kavajë.
The market prices BES at 18% implied. Our number sits apart on Besëlidhja Lezhë: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
