Where the market is wrong on Pro Sesto v Oltrepò
Pro Sesto meet Oltrepò in the Serie D - Girone D group d - 5 at Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors Pro Sesto on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Pro Sesto arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Crema, W 3-0 v Pontedera, W 2-0 @ Città di Varese, L 2-3 v Lentigione.
Oltrepò are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Coriano, W 1-0 @ Castellanzese, L 1-2 @ Pro Patria, W 2-1 v Brusaporto.
The market prices PRO at 57% implied. Our number sits apart on Oltrepò: a 13.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output