Staphorst v UNA: the model read
Staphorst meet UNA in the KNVB Beker 1st preliminary round.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans UNA, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Staphorst on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 75%. Draw no bet leans UNA at 55%; double chance reads Staphorst or draw 61%, UNA or draw 68%.
Staphorst arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 v Excelsior '31, D 2-2 @ Dovo, W 2-1 v ROHDA Raalte, L 1-3 @ Excelsior '31.
UNA are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Zwaluwen, D 1-1 v TOGB, L 1-3 @ FC Eindhoven, L 1-2 v Meerssen.
Staphorst hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2017: UNA 1-2 Staphorst.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
