Where the market is wrong on FC Jerusalem v Maccabi Ashdod
FC Jerusalem meet Maccabi Ashdod in the Liga Alef south - 2.
FC Jerusalem rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1554 to 1400. Recent form leans FC Jerusalem, 58% against 32%. Attacking output favors FC Jerusalem on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.2 per match.
FC Jerusalem arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Maccabi Ashdod, W 2-1 @ Kfar Saba 1928, W 4-1 v Dimona, W 2-1 @ Nordia Jerusalem.
Maccabi Ashdod are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ FC Jerusalem, L 1-2 v Hapoel Herzliya, D 1-1 @ Hapoel Marmorek, D 3-3 @ FC Jerusalem.
The market prices FC at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Maccabi Ashdod: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
