Castrense v Louletano: the model read
Castrense meet Louletano in the Taça de Portugal 1/128-finals.
Louletano rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Louletano, 73% against 31%. Attacking output favors Louletano on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.6 per match.
Castrense arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Louletano, L 0-5 v Lusitânia Lourosa, W 1-0 v Quarteirense, L 2-4 @ Moura.
Louletano are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Castrense, W 4-2 @ Caldas, L 1-3 v CF Os Belenenses, D 0-0 @ Oliveirense.
Louletano hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Castrense 0-1 Louletano.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
