Genoa v Ascoli: the model read
Genoa meet Ascoli in the Coppa Italia round of 64 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa.
Ascoli rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1625 to 1466. Recent form leans Ascoli, 66% against 43%. Attacking output favors Ascoli on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 39%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Ascoli at 68%; double chance reads Genoa or draw 52%, Ascoli or draw 77%.
Genoa arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Lazio, L 0-2 v Napoli, W 4-1 v Ascoli, L 0-1 v Deportivo La Coruna.
Ascoli are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Carrarese, W 2-1 @ Hellas Verona, L 1-4 @ Genoa, W 3-1 v Potenza.
Genoa hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Genoa 4-1 Ascoli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
