Dongen v Gemert: the model read
Dongen meet Gemert in the Derde Divisie regular season - 3.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Gemert on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Gemert at 56%; double chance reads Dongen or draw 59%, Gemert or draw 68%.
Dongen arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ EVV, W 4-0 v Zwaluwen, W 2-1 @ Heerjansdam, D 1-1 v Heerjansdam.
Gemert are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 14 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v GOES, D 2-2 @ Rijnvogels, D 1-1 v Helmond Sport, D 3-3 @ GOES.
Gemert hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Dongen 2-1 Gemert.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
