Where the market is wrong on Crevillente v Saguntino
Crevillente meet Saguntino in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 group 6 - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Crevillente on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Crevillente arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Saguntino, D 1-1 @ Roda, D 2-2 v Soneja, W 1-0 @ Acero.
Saguntino are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Crevillente, L 0-4 v Navalcarnero, L 0-1 v Villarreal III, L 0-1 @ Ontinyent 1931.
Saguntino hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Crevillente 2-2 Saguntino.
The market prices CRE at 36% implied. Our number sits apart on Saguntino: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
