Where the market is wrong on Giugliano v Cosenza
Giugliano meet Cosenza in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 5 at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro, Giugliano.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cosenza, 50% against 40%. Attacking output favors Cosenza on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Giugliano arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 11 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: W 5-2 v Cosenza, L 0-4 @ Audace Cerignola, L 0-2 v Sorrento, L 3-4 @ Casarano.
Cosenza are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Giugliano, D 0-0 v Cavese, L 0-4 @ Catania, L 0-1 @ Sorrento.
The market prices GIU at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Cosenza: a 11.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
