Casarano v Audace Cerignola: the model read
Casarano meet Audace Cerignola in the Serie C - Girone C girone c - 5 at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Casarano, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Casarano on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.5 per match.
Casarano arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Audace Cerignola, W 3-1 v Barletta, L 0-1 @ Bari, W 4-3 v Giugliano.
Audace Cerignola are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Casarano, W 4-0 v Giugliano, W 2-0 @ Foggia, L 1-3 @ Cavese.
Audace Cerignola hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Casarano 1-0 Audace Cerignola.
The market prices CAS at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 2.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
