Where the market is wrong on Vis Pesaro v Reggiana
Vis Pesaro meet Reggiana in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 5 at Tonino Benelli, Pesaro.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Reggiana, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Reggiana on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Vis Pesaro arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Reggiana, L 1-2 @ Forli, L 1-2 v Ostia Mare, L 0-5 @ Gubbio.
Reggiana are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 @ Vis Pesaro, D 1-1 @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937, W 3-1 v Vado, W 2-1 @ Gubbio.
The market prices VIS at 23% implied. Our number sits apart on Vis Pesaro: a 6.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
