Where the market is wrong on Reggiana v Ravenna
Reggiana meet Ravenna in the Serie C - Girone B girone b - 1.
Ravenna rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Ravenna, 57% against 35%. Attacking output favors Ravenna on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 29%, over 2.5 goals around 27%. Draw no bet leans Ravenna at 62%; double chance reads Reggiana or draw 58%, Ravenna or draw 75%.
Reggiana arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Ravenna, L 1-3 @ Livorno, W 1-0 v Sampdoria, L 1-2 @ Modena.
Ravenna are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Reggiana, L 3-5 @ Benevento, L 0-2 v Salernitana, L 0-2 @ Salernitana.
Reggiana hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Reggiana 1-1 Ravenna.
The market prices REG at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Ravenna: a 16.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
