Where the market is wrong on Desenzano Calvina v Trento
Desenzano Calvina meet Trento in the Serie C - Girone A girone a - 2 at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto.
The baseline ratings are close, 1627 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Desenzano Calvina, 70% against 60%. Attacking output favors Trento on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.2 per match.
Desenzano Calvina arrive patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Trento, D 1-1 @ PRO Vercelli, D 0-0 @ Lecco, L 0-1 @ Scafatese.
Trento are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 6 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Desenzano Calvina, W 2-1 v Treviso, W 2-1 v Ospitaletto, L 0-1 v Modena.
The market prices DES at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on Desenzano Calvina: a 8.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
