Where the market is wrong on GVVV Veenendaal v Eemdijk
GVVV Veenendaal meet Eemdijk in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies. The model makes Eemdijk the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 32% GVV, 27% draw, 41% EEM.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 43%. Attacking output favors Eemdijk on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 83%, over 2.5 goals around 87%. Draw no bet leans Eemdijk at 56%; double chance reads GVVV Veenendaal or draw 59%, Eemdijk or draw 68%.
GVVV Veenendaal arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 4-5 @ Almere City II, D 1-1 v AFC Amsterdam, L 1-3 @ Kozakken Boys, W 3-1 v Ijsselmeervogels.
Eemdijk are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Sparta Nijkerk, L 2-3 v DVS 33 Ermelo, L 0-1 @ Hoogeveen, W 2-1 v Dovo.
The market prices GVV at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on Eemdijk: a 21.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
