Where the market is wrong on Al Shabab v Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab meet Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Pro League regular season - 5 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1454. Recent form leans Al-Hilal Saudi FC, 83% against 45%. Attacking output favors Al-Hilal Saudi FC on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.
Al Shabab arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 7 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Al-Hazm, D 3-3 v Al Riyadh, D 0-0 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, L 2-3 @ Al Wehda Club.
Al-Hilal Saudi FC are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 17 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Al-Ahli Jeddah, W 5-1 @ Al Khaleej Saihat, W 3-0 @ Al-Fayha, W 2-0 @ Al-Raed.
The market prices AL at 12% implied. Our number sits apart on Al Shabab: a 7.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
