Where the market is wrong on Al-Fateh v Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Fateh meet Al-Ittihad FC in the Pro League regular season - 4 at Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf.
Al-Ittihad FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1400. Recent form leans Al-Ittihad FC, 65% against 30%. Attacking output favors Al-Ittihad FC on expected goals, 1.8 to 0.8 per match.
Al-Fateh arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 1 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Al-Ittihad FC, D 1-1 @ Al-Faisaly FC, L 0-1 v Al-Ettifaq, L 0-3 @ Al Ula.
Al-Ittihad FC are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Al-Fateh, W 3-2 v Al-Hazm, W 1-0 @ Al-Qadisiyah FC, W 3-0 @ Al Najma.
Al-Ittihad FC hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Al-Fateh 0-0 Al-Ittihad FC.
The market prices AL- at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
