Modena v Empoli: the model read
Modena meet Empoli in the Serie B regular season - 5 at Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1444, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Modena on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Modena at 57%; double chance reads Modena or draw 71%, Empoli or draw 61%.
Modena arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Cremonese, W 2-1 @ Benevento, L 2-3 @ Venezia, D 0-0 v Vis Pesaro.
Empoli are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Mantova, W 1-0 v Cremonese, D 1-1 @ Pisa, D 1-1 @ Livorno.
Modena hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Empoli 0-0 Modena.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
